Slavia's European drought meets Arsenal's unbeaten run

Slavia Prague welcome Arsenal to the Fortuna Arena on Champions League matchday four as a side living two lives. At home they sit seven points clear at the top of the Czech First League and are unbeaten in five games. In Europe they have one point from three league-phase games, sit 32nd of 36, and have gone 18 UEFA fixtures without a win.

Arsenal are the opposite story in this competition. Wins over Napoli and Lille and a 2-2 draw at Bayern Munich have them on seven points, and their two goals conceded is joint-best in the league phase with Stuttgart and PSV. Their form has had one blip: a Carabao Cup exit to Fleetwood Town, followed by a 1-0 win at Liverpool, settled by an early Kai Havertz goal.

Arsenal travel without the injured Bukayo Saka, and Eberechi Eze is a doubt. Max Dowman is available despite a three-game domestic ban. Slavia's list is longer: Ivan Schranz has been ill for weeks, Lukáš Provod and Ange N'Guessan are doubts, and striker Tomáš Chorý has been frozen out by coach Jindřich Trpišovský after an incident with a referee.

History leans one way. Slavia have never beaten Arsenal in five meetings, including a 7-0 loss in London in 2007 and a 3-0 home defeat in last season's league phase. The market gives Arsenal a 78% chance of winning. With Saka missing and Slavia beaten only once in their last nine home games, does that leave enough room for an upset?