WILDCARD · England vs. Croatia

Kane chases England caps record in Croatia rematch

Harry Kane is one appearance away from becoming England's most-capped men's player, and the chance comes against the side England put seven past on 3 October. That 7-0 win in Rijeka, with Kane and Bukayo Saka scoring twice each, was Croatia's heaviest defeat on record in a senior men's international.

The Nations League table gives the rematch at Wembley real weight. England are second in their League A group on nine points, three behind leaders Spain, and a draw would keep them in the top two and secure a quarter-final place in March. Croatia sit third on three points and are fighting to protect their League A status, with a trip to face Czechia in Osijek on 15 November still to come.

Croatia arrive short-handed. Ivan Perišić is suspended after his sending-off against Spain, while Josip Šutalo, Marin Pongračić, Kristijan Jakić, Andrej Kramarić and Franjo Ivanović have withdrawn injured. Luka Modrić, 41, keeps the armband and is set for his 207th cap. Slaven Bilić's side have lost three games in a row.

England have gaps too. Marc Guéhi pulled out injured, with Dan Burn called up, and James Hill was added to the squad on 10 November. Declan Rice returns, and Jobe Bellingham and Josh King earn first call-ups.

The market prices England at 80% to win. Does the 7-0 in Rijeka justify that number, or is a stung Croatia side better than that scoreline suggested?

What the market thinks
Prices from when the story was written. What the market thinks, not a sure result.
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